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Re: Modeling of NFL game results

  • To: mathgroup at smc.vnet.net
  • Subject: [mg129258] Re: Modeling of NFL game results
  • From: Scott Hemphill <hemphill at hemphills.net>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Dec 2012 05:06:48 -0500 (EST)
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  • Reply-to: hemphill at alumni.caltech.edu

Scott Hemphill <hemphill at hemphills.net> writes:

[snip]

> I decided to rate each team with a single number, such that the
> probability that a team rated "r1" has a probability beating a team
> rated "r2" is given by:
>
>   p = CDF[NormalDistribution[], r1-r2];

Hmmm.  I guess my code actually implements "r2-r1" instead of "r1-r2".
It doesn't matter, except one way high ratings are better than low
ratings, and the other is vice versa.

> filename="matrix.m";
> prec;

I don't know how this line got shortened.  My original has "prec".

Scott
-- 
Scott Hemphill	hemphill at alumni.caltech.edu
"This isn't flying.  This is falling, with style."  -- Buzz Lightyear



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