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Cumulative probability question
*To*: mathgroup at smc.vnet.net
*Subject*: [mg120583] Cumulative probability question
*From*: Peter Sisak <p-kun80 at hotmail.com>
*Date*: Sat, 30 Jul 2011 05:59:41 -0400 (EDT)
*Delivered-to*: l-mathgroup@mail-archive0.wolfram.com
I have been experimenting with Mathematica in order to receive answers
to my problem, so far without success. I have tried various forms of CDF
and HypergeometricDistribution, but I seem to not know the proper
addressing of the parameters for the problem.
The problem itself is the following (with numbers given for a more
illustrative example): Given an urn containing N(=70) items in total,
of which n(=4) are marked, we want to draw i(=2) or more marked
items.
a) What is the formula describing the number of draws required to
succeed in drawing at least i items with a probability of at least 50%?
b) How do you make a graph of the probability (of drawing at least i
items) graphed against the number of draws?
c) What are the equations that need to be solved to get a numerical
answer on a) and b)?
Thank you for your assistance in advance
P=E9ter Sis=E1k
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